HF4437 (Legislative Session 94 (2025-2026))
Wagers and other activities regarding prediction markets prohibited.
Related bill: SF4511
AI Generated Summary
Purpose
- The bill aims to prohibit certain wagers and activities related to prediction markets and to establish criminal penalties for those prohibitions. It also updates Minnesota law by amending sections 609.75 and 609.76.
Main Provisions
- Add a new subdivision to Minnesota Statutes that creates criminal penalties for prohibited wagering connected to prediction markets.
- Amend Minnesota Statutes 2024, section 609.75 subdivision 3, to clarify what counts as “not bets.” The bill retains and enumerates several exemptions, including:
- a contract to insure, indemnify, guarantee, or compensate another for harm or loss, even if the loss depends on chance
- a contract for the purchase or sale at a future date of securities or other commodities (with an exception noted for a specific provision in 609.76 subdivision 9)
- offers of purses, prizes, or premiums to actual contestants in bona fide contests for determining skill, speed, strength, endurance, or quality, or to bona fide owners of animals or property entered in such contests
- the game of bingo conducted in compliance with Minnesota bingo statutes
- a private social bet not part of or incidental to organized gambling
- the operation of equipment or the conduct of a raffle under the organized gambling statutes by a licensed organization or an organization exempt from licensing
- parimutuel betting on horse racing when conducted under the horse racing chapter
- the purchase and sale of State Lottery tickets under the State Lottery chapter
- These provisions together define what activities are not considered bets, while the new penalties target prohibited prediction-market wagering.
Significant Changes to Existing Law
- Creates criminal penalties for certain prediction-market wagering activities, adding a new subdivision to the statute (609.76).
- Clarifies and expands the list of activities that are explicitly not considered bets under 609.75 subdivision 3, including various forms of contests, social bets, licensed raffles, and specific gambling activities like bingo, parimutuel horse racing, and state lottery operations.
- Aligns and cross-references related statutes (e.g., chapters on horse racing, gambling control, bingo, raffles, and state lottery) to delineate permissible activities vs. prohibited prediction-market related wagers.
Implications and How It Works in Practice
- If a person or organization engages in certain prediction-market wagers or related activities, they could face criminal penalties under the new 609.76 subdivision.
- Wide range of common or traditional activities remain exempt from being treated as bets, provided they meet the conditions listed in 609.75 subdivision 3 (e.g., bona fide contests, licensed raffles, social bets, and specific forms of gambling conduct).
Examples of Exempt Activities (Not Bets)
- Private social bets between individuals not part of organized gambling
- Bingo conducted under the listed state statutes
- Bona fide skill-based contests with prizes
- Raffles run by licensed or exempt organizations
- Parimutuel horse racing under the appropriate chapter
- State Lottery purchases
Potential Areas of Impact
- Prediction-market operators and participants
- Organizations hosting contests or raffles
- Gambling-related businesses seeking to classify activities as non-bets
- Law enforcement and prosecutors enforcing criminal penalties for prohibited wagering
Relevant Terms - prediction markets - wagers - bets - not bets - criminal penalties - Minnesota Statutes 2024 - 609.75 subdivision 3 - 609.76 (new subdivision) - bona fide contest - skill-based competition - bingo - raffles - parimutuel betting - horse racing (chapter 240) - State Lottery (chapter 349A) - securities - futures contracts - private social bet - Gambling Control Board - sections 349.11 to 349.23 - sections 349.11 to 349.22 - section 349.166 - chapter 349A
Bill text versions
- Introduction PDF PDF file
Upcoming committee meetings
- Public Safety Finance and Policy on: March 24, 2026 15:00
Actions
| Date | Chamber | Where | Type | Name | Committee Name |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 18, 2026 | House | Action | Introduction and first reading, referred to | Public Safety Finance and Policy |
Citations
[
{
"analysis": {
"added": [
"Adds eight categories of not-bets, including contracts to insure or compensate for loss, futures contracts on securities/commodities (except as provided by 609.76 subd. 9), offers of purses to contestants in bona fide contests, bingo, private social bets, raffles by licensed/unlicensed organizations, parimutuel betting under chapter 240, and purchase/sale of State Lottery tickets under chapter 349A."
],
"removed": [],
"summary": "Amends Minnesota Statutes 2024, section 609.75, subdivision 3 to redefine what constitutes not bets, enumerating eight specific categories of activities that are not bets.",
"modified": [
"Minnesota Statutes 2024 section 609.75 subdivision 3 is amended to read 'What are not bets' with the enumerated categories."
]
},
"citation": "609.75",
"subdivision": "subdivision 3"
},
{
"analysis": {
"added": [
"Adds a subdivision to 609.76 (content of subdivision not specified in the text provided)."
],
"removed": [],
"summary": "Adds a subdivision to Minnesota Statutes 2024 section 609.76 as part of the bill's changes related to not-bet definitions and associated penalties regarding prediction markets.",
"modified": [
"Minnesota Statutes 2024 section 609.76 is amended by adding a subdivision."
]
},
"citation": "609.76",
"subdivision": "subdivision added"
},
{
"analysis": {
"added": [],
"removed": [],
"summary": "References to Minnesota Statutes sections 349.11 through 349.23, used here to designate bingo-related provisions as not bets when conducted in compliance with those sections.",
"modified": []
},
"citation": "349.11 to 349.23",
"subdivision": ""
},
{
"analysis": {
"added": [],
"removed": [],
"summary": "References to Minnesota Statutes sections 349.11 through 349.22, used here to designate raffles conducted by certain organizations as not bets when licensed by the Gambling Control Board or exempt under 349.166.",
"modified": []
},
"citation": "349.11 to 349.22",
"subdivision": ""
},
{
"analysis": {
"added": [],
"removed": [],
"summary": "Cites Minnesota Statutes section 349.166 regarding licensing or exemption from licensing of organizations conducting certain raffles.",
"modified": []
},
"citation": "349.166",
"subdivision": ""
},
{
"analysis": {
"added": [],
"removed": [],
"summary": "Cites Minnesota Statutes chapter 240 regarding parimutuel betting on horse racing when conducted under that chapter.",
"modified": []
},
"citation": "240",
"subdivision": ""
},
{
"analysis": {
"added": [],
"removed": [],
"summary": "Cites Minnesota Statutes chapter 349A concerning the purchase and sale of State Lottery tickets.",
"modified": []
},
"citation": "349A",
"subdivision": ""
}
]Progress through the legislative process
In Committee