Purpose

This bill aims to strengthen oversight and accountability for how Minnesota spends money on human services. It requires comparing actual spending to forecasted spending, adds triggers for potential program changes if spending is far off forecast, and expands audit and reporting requirements to increase transparency. It also sets up new processes for forecasting, notices to legislators, and possible contingent terminations or reductions if spending deviates too much from forecasts.

Main Provisions

• Audits and oversight (DHS, MCOs, and CYF)

  • Prioritize audits of the Department of Human Services (DHS) programs, services, and benefits to ensure they are cost-effective and delivered to eligible people.
  • Audits can focus on programs the commissioner identifies and must determine why actual spending deviates from projected spending.
  • Managed care organizations (MCOs) that contract with DHS will be audited to ensure public funds are used lawfully and in line with contracts; audits may be planned and conducted with possible vendor help; results reported to Legislative Audit Commission and key legislative leaders.
  • The Legislative Auditor can forgo a full audit if the commissioner’s explanation reasonably explains the deviation.
  • Similar audit provisions apply to the Department of Children, Youth and Families (CYF), with the auditor able to forgo an audit if the explanation is satisfactory.

• Contingent expenditure reductions and forecast treatment

  • In the February forecast for a biennium, the commissioner must not include estimates of expenditure reductions that would come from actions by DHS under a specific statute (section 256.01 subdivision 46) or CYF under another statute (section 142A.03 subdivision 37).
  • For future forecasts, these actions are treated as if they are already enacted, for the purpose of forecasting.

• Forecast trend analysis and public notice

  • Beginning January 15, 2027, the commissioner must provide quarterly accounting of actual expenditures by service for all forecasted programs, and post this on the department’s website.
  • Each quarterly accounting must compare actual expenditures by service to the four most recent February forecasts (adjusted for any changes in law).
  • The department must post these comparisons with data visualizations and include at least ten years of historical data.
  • If actual spending for a service exceeds the most recent forecast by more than 5%, the department must note the deviation on the website and notify the chairs and ranking minority members of relevant legislative committees and the Legislative Auditor.
  • The department may include a narrative explaining the deviation.
  • If January data for the first year of a biennium show a deviation of more than 10% from the forecast, the department must give special notice to the same leaders and provide a second notice by March 31 detailing potential consequences if the legislature does not act.

• Contingent program and service terminations and modifications

  • If, in January of the first fiscal year of a biennium, the accounting shows a deviation greater than 10% since the February forecast, the commissioner must terminate the program or service effective July 1 of the second year of the biennium (with federal approval processes started if needed).
  • This does not apply to mandatory medical assistance benefits, but for MA benefits that exceed the forecast by more than 10%, the commissioner must reduce payment rates to providers to prevent growth, with federal approval steps if required.
  • These contingent actions can be prevented or overridden by a finally enacted act directing the commissioner not to take them.

• Forecast trend analysis for CYF and DHS (separate but parallel provisions)

  • The bill sets parallel forecast trend analysis requirements for CYF (through 142A.03) and DHS (through 256.01), including quarterly reporting, public posting, and the same deviation-notice and potential termination mechanisms as described above.

Significant Changes to Existing Law

• Adds new requirements for quarterly, public analyses of actual vs. forecasted expenditures, with public posting and data visualizations.
• Creates contingent cancellation/termination authority for programs and services if spending deviates by more than 10% from forecasts, including timelines for federal approval where needed.
• Expands audit duties and scope for DHS, MCOs, and CYF, including the possibility to forgo certain audits if explanations are satisfactory.
• Requires explicit treatment of forecast-related actions as if they were enacted for forecasting purposes, affecting February forecasts.
• Establishes new, explicit reporting and notice requirements to legislative leadership and the Legislative Auditor.

Implementation and Funding

• Appropriations (general fund):
  • Sec.9: Funds for evaluations of deviations from projected spending by the Legislative Auditor in fiscal year 2027.
  • Sec.10: Funds to the Commissioner of Children, Youth and Families for forecast trend analyses (CYF) in fiscal year 2027.
  • Sec.11: Funds to the Commissioner of Human Services for forecast trend analyses (DHS) in fiscal year 2027.
• These provisions specify funding to support the new forecast analyses, trend analyses, and deviation evaluations.

Agencies Affected

• Department of Human Services (DHS)
• Department of Children, Youth and Families (CYF)
• Managed care organizations (MCOs) under DHS contracts
• Legislative Auditor (oversight and reporting role)

Timeline and Reporting

• Quarterly forecast trend accounting begins January 15, 2027, with ongoing quarterly updates.
• Special notices for material deviations (over 10%) are due by March 31 following the January notice.
• If triggering termination or MA rate reductions, timelines involve July 1 for terminations and March 31 for initiating federal approvals.

Potential Impacts and Considerations

• Strengthened oversight of spending with greater transparency for taxpayers and legislators.
• Possible program or service terminations or payment-rate reductions if spending greatly exceeds forecasts.
• Increased accountability for DHS, CYF, and MCOs through enhanced audits and reporting.
• Public posting and visualizations could improve understanding of how money is spent in health and human services.

Note on Context

• The bill relies on several existing statutory references (e.g., sections 256.01, 256B.69, 142A.03) and creates new subdivisions to implement these forecasting, alert, and contingency mechanisms.

Relevant Terms - actual expenditures - forecasted expenditures - February forecast - January forecast - deviation - 5% threshold - 10% threshold - quarterly accounting - data visualizations - historical data (ten years) - public posting - notices to chairs and ranking minority members - Legislative Auditor - contingency/cancel/terminate - contingent program and service terminations - special notice - federal approval - managed care organizations (MCOs) - demonstration provider - fee-for-service (FFS) spending - DHS (Department of Human Services) - CYF (Children, Youth and Families) - 256.01, 256B.69, 142A.03 references - forecast trend analysis - approach to audits (priority, forgo option)